Last updated on October 22, 2019
Turkey will press on with its military operation in northeast Syria” with the conclusion” if guarantees given by Washington haven’t been retained, Erdogan said before the trip.
Turkey states all Kurdish YPG militia forces should leave a”secure zone” it needs to set together a part of its border with Syria.
Ankara perspectives that the YPG as terrorists who have connections to civic insurgents working in southeast Turkey.
Erdogan also said he’d talk with Russian President Vladimir Putin the way the Syrian constitutional committee that’s supposed to meet in late October could make concrete progress.
The Kremlin said it expected Erdogan will have the ability to supply more info about Ankara’s strategies for northern Syria.
What’s at stake in such bilateral talks? Euronews interviewed global policy experts to discover.
The simple fact that Erdogan belongs to Putin in the height of this crisis demonstrates how fundamental Moscow is now from the Syrian battle.
“Putin has succeeded in appearing at both his connection with Assad but also with Turkey in a very strong manner. And today he provides the Kurds possibly the only way of mediating between Both of These actors.”
“I believe Putin would like to use the assembly to attempt to lock Erdogan to his broader vision of this Syria settlement, one which likely involves imagining Assad’s ongoing rule,” Barnes Dacey stated.
While Russia has dropped back on its devotion to Syria, all of the western players have always looked for an exit plan, one that is presently being merged by Trump’s conclusion,” Barnes Dacey informed Euronews.
“Erdogan doesn’t need to break relations with Moscow”
According to Russian specialist Dmitry Suslov of the Valdai Discussion Club, Putin and Erdogan may concur on procuring a new status quo in Syria which will continue forever and which will consist of Turkish occupation of a 30-kilometer zone across the boundary and eviction from the civic population.
“Erdogan should secure the approval of Russia for its military performance, more just for the institution of Turkish control across the boundary, because he doesn’t need to sever relations with the Russian Federation.”
“Ankara isn’t considering an open battle with Moscow or Damascus because in the latter instance it would also mean tensions with Russia,” Suslov said.
Kirill Semenov of the Russian Union for International Affairs advised Euronews the Ankara and Moscow will probably talk about the parameters of this buffer zone – is it raised to 300-400 kilometers in length and may both sides agree to a limited region of 150 kilometres?
Orkhan Gafarli, a Turkish political scientist, also noted that Russia had refrained from criticizing Ankara. According to the specialist, the Kurd’s choice to strike a deal with Damascus and finish collaboration with Washington functions Moscow’s interests well.
Additionally, Moscow is happy that oil-rich Kamyshly, Manbij, and Kobani dropped under Damascus’ control.
Additional topics of conversation will probably incorporate the problem in Idlib and Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, the jihadist alliance now controlling the area, experts told Euronews.
Talks on Idlib will probably be exceedingly hard, Gafarli cautioned, since the parties have to ascertain which of those groups working in the field are revolutionary and that will restrain Idlib.
Based on Suslov, the transition of the Kurds under the management of Damascus is advantageous to Ankara, because Turkey Isn’t considering the development of an independent Kurdistan.
But, Semenov cautioned that the present situation might feel threatening to Turkey if Kurdish entities eventually become a part of Syrian government forces. However direct clashes between Turkish and Syrian armies will most probably be prevented since Russia won’t permit it.
“To solve the problem in Syria, the Russian-Turkish dialog is vital”
“The possibility of resolving the problem in Syria arose just after Turkey stopped combatting the Assad regime and switched from the American into the Russian coalition, and following that the Astana band was formed,” Suslov said.
Of Syria’s acquaintances, Turkey is the most effective nation from a military viewpoint. By Suslov, this usually means that the payoff of this Syrian crisis largely is dependent upon the collaboration of Moscow and Ankara.
Still, the specialist cautioned there are dangers involved, such as huge population displacements since the Kurds flee Turkish army operations.